Unlike many in Congress, Ryan at least is putting the energy into laying out a plan. But fresh thinking it is not. Unfortunately, Ryan’s road map is the same old far-right-wing agenda that has been promoted by conservative think tanks such as the Heritage Foundation and Club for Growth. The plan is more radically right wing than mainstream Republican thinking and is based on a naive premise that the free market can solve all the problems facing America today. Several decades ago most economists, even most conservative economists, acknowledged that there are many areas where the markets just fail and government intervention and regulation are required.
A prime example is the current recession, which was triggered by the relaxed regulation of the housing mortgage market. Companies like the former Bear Stearns that lobbied the government for more deregulation of the mortgage markets ended up creating their own demise.
Historically, the pendulum swings back and forth between policies that are based on extreme faith in the free market, like Paul Ryan’s road map, to policies that include a more regulated marketplace, like the European model. Fortunately it appears that the extreme free-market ideas of George W. Bush and Paul Ryan are on the wane and we are moving into a period where policies that view carefully crafted government involvement as a positive force are on the rise.
Health Care
In
his road map Ryan proposes revamping health care, Social Security
and taxes based on discredited, radically conservative ideas. Ryan’s plan for health care could have been written
by the major health insurance companies. Ryan proposes that every
American not covered by Medicare would receive a refundable tax credit
of $2,500 for an individual and $5,000 for a family to buy health
insurance in the marketplace. This program does nothing to control
costs. It is basically a gravy train for the private health insurance
companies, because they would get this big subsidy from the government.
The United States spends almost 16% of its gross domestic product on health care. Measured another way, the United States spends per capita on health care approximately twice what countries such as France, Germany, Japan, Italy, Sweden, the Netherlands and Canada
spend per person—and we still have 47 million people who are uninsured.
A big part of these higher costs results from our private health
insurance companies and their extremely high administrative costs—about
31%. In contrast, Medicare and Medicaid, the government-funded insurance
programs, have administrative costs of about 3%. In addition, doctors
and hospitals have to hire entire departments of employees to file
different reimbursement forms for various insurance companies, and the
patients often have to fight their insurance companies because they
find reasons to avoid paying for expensive procedures.
Unless you have the courage to confront the private insurance companies
in this country, you are not going to see serious health care reform.
Ryan’s plan does give states more flexibility to redesign their
Medicaid plans, however, which is a positive suggestion.
Social Security
Ryan’s
Social Security proposal essentially dusts off the Bush plan of private
savings accounts and adds a few bells and whistles. For those under the
age of 55, the plan offers people the option of investing more than a
third of their Social Security taxes in private investment accounts.
Not
only does this drain money from the Social Security system and ensure
its demise, it also puts a portion of a person’s savings at
risk—remember what happened when NASDAQ crashed in 2000? To prop up
this flawed idea, Ryan’s plan has the government guaranteeing that if
the private savings accounts fail, the government will bail them out.
President
Bush proposed a similar plan when both houses of Congress were in
Republican hands and he couldn’t get anywhere because even many
Republicans opposed it. Ryan is right that the Social Security system
will have to start cutting some benefits after the year 2041 unless
some changes are made. But he doesn’t look at the fact that if we
simply raise the retirement age a few years—since life expectancy
continues to rise—and raise the ceiling on the top income that pays the
Social Security tax above the current $94,200, the Social Security
system would stay solvent through this entire century.
Taxes
Ryan’s
plan would lower the taxes on the wealthy even more than Bush’s tax
plan did. He cleverly offers the option of the current tax system or
one that would lower the top tax rate from 35% to 25%, which means wealthy individuals would save
$100,000 in taxes on each additional million dollars they earn. Even
the super-rich like Bill Gates and Warren Buffet oppose these tax cuts
for the wealthy. On top of the tax rate cuts for the wealthy, Ryan
would eliminate taxes on interest, capital gains, dividends and
inheritance. Of course almost everyone would benefit a little from this
policy, but the wealthy would benefit a lot. For example, the
inheritance tax only kicks in for estates worth more than $2 million,
which only affects the wealthiest top 1 or 2 percent of us. But Ryan’s
proposal goes further and eliminates the taxes on the interest and
dividends generated by that inheritance. Quite simply, Ryan’s proposal
would allow these heirs and heiresses never to have to pay a single
dollar in taxes for their entire lives. That should certainly stimulate
the yacht sales market in Newport Beach.
Ryan also proposes
eliminating the corporate tax and replacing it with a Business
Consumption Tax of 8.5%. A business only pays corporate taxes if it
makes a profit. Ryan’s plan would lower the taxes on large, profitable
businesses and burden the small, struggling, marginal businesses with a
new tax.
One of the main reasons stated by Congressman Ryan
for proposing this road map is to lift “the massive projected debt
burden from the shoulders of future generations.” He does not discuss
the fact that he was in lock step with George Bush on the war in Iraq,
a war that was paid for entirely with borrowed money and one that will
eventually cost our nation more than a trillion dollars. Ryan claims to
be so concerned about future generations, but who does he think will
pay off this war debt that he helped to incur? Louis Fortis is a former economics professor and former state legislator.
What’s your take? Write: editor@shepex.com or comment on this story online at www.expressmilwaukee.com.
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