While many Democrats are both fascinated with and terrified by 2008’s extended presidential nomination process, some of Wisconsin’s die-hard Democrats are not too worried about the deadlocked race between Sen. Hillary Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama.
Although
Obama has a slight and perhaps insurmountable lead among delegates, in
the number of states won and in the popular vote, Clinton has
maintained from the beginning that she’s “in it to win it” and she
promises to keep campaigning until the Democratic convention in August.
The New York
senator’s willingness to hang on despite the difficult odds has made
some party leaders and pundits nervous about a contested convention and
a battered nominee—either Clinton or Obama—in November. Stan
Gruszynski, a former state legislator and a superdelegate who is
supporting Obama, said that a nominee would be settled on without a lot
of acrimony.
“I can’t think of a country that was run aground
by a primary election,” Gruszynski said. “It will play out as it
should.” Gruszynski predicted that if the April 22 Pennsylvania
primary doesn’t decide the race, superdelegates and party elders will
force the candidates to make a decision. Part of that pressure will
come from the realities of the campaign calendar on local, state and
congressional races.
“I think that people are going to want
this to be sewn up about the same time that our local politicians begin
to take out their nomination papers and the campaign season officially
begins,” Gruszynski said. “I think we’ll get an answer in May or June.”
He said that the math doesn’t look so great for Clinton. “For
all practical purposes, it’s not likely that she can win the
nomination,” Gruszynski said. “If she comes to that realization a month
from now, no harm done.”
Progressive attorney Ed Garvey says
that party elders need to step up and discuss their options. “I do have
the sense that something should happen here, that Howard Dean and Jimmy
Carter and Al Gore and a few other people should at least sit down and
discuss how the rest of the campaign should be run,” Garvey said. “I
don’t know how you do that, exactly. But it’s a bit suicidal, the way
it’s going on at the moment, for the party.”
He said that if
the superdelegates overturn the popular vote, “then you’ll have
President McCain.” But he predicted that Obama would secure the
nomination shortly after the Pennsylvania (April 22) or North Carolina (May 6) primaries.
“Clinton
will act like she was forced out,” Garvey said. “But I think she’ll
figure out that she has to walk the plank.” Kathleen Falk, Dane County
executive and an early and enthusiastic Clinton supporter, said that
Clinton still has a chance.
“It is a very competitive race,”
Falk said. Deciding the nominee at the convention wouldn’t be the end
of the world, Falk noted. “That’s the purpose of a convention,” Falk
said. “Democrats in the past have been accused of having everything
decided before the convention and now when a convention might be
interesting… you can’t have it both ways. We will have a great
candidate at the end of this and we will win in November.”
What’s your take? Write: editor@shepex.com.
Welcome to SEXpress, the Shepherd Express’ new sex advice column. As your lovely hostess, I’ll be answering your questions, interviewing nationally known sexperts as they travel through our city, and sharing my thoughts about all things sex related. How did I get this plum job, you ask? Well, I’ve worked as a sexuality educator for more than a decade—on college campuses, in community organizations, in state agencies and in congregations.
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